Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.091380 0.143448 0.205460 0.282142 0.372183 0.472692 0.591649
2026-01-11 0.038448 0.099992 0.189438 0.314595 0.474764 0.664978 0.901101
2026-01-18 0.017060 0.076819 0.180217 0.337727 0.549891 0.810416 1.141670
2026-01-25 0.004152 0.053078 0.160755 0.340601 0.595119 0.917204 1.335277
2026-02-01 NaN 0.028149 0.127045 0.314326 0.595441 0.963268 1.451293
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010814 0.094129 0.280494 0.579261 0.983890 1.532453
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004041 0.077941 0.269853 0.593132 1.041646 1.658598
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001583 0.071714 0.275612 0.630496 1.130371 1.824106
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000158 0.062252 0.272489 0.652895 1.198033 1.962106
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.048686 0.256694 0.653176 1.233926 2.057951
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052143 0.280562 0.718327 1.360970 2.273928
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055470 0.304191 0.783279 1.488024 2.490328
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.053959 0.316942 0.832668 1.596754 2.687711
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.060419 0.350759 0.918418 1.758442 2.957046
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.063379 0.375460 0.988811 1.898321 3.197524
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.058291 0.378457 1.022385 1.985842 3.368790
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.043355 0.350617 1.001490 1.994353 3.434203
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.028373 0.314659 0.962966 1.975246 3.461033
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.022029 0.303327 0.966952 2.017218 3.569286
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.020410 0.309462 1.003115 2.106908 3.742517
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.016913 0.306136 1.021063 2.169267 3.878467
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.011395 0.289295 1.011988 2.190421 3.957632
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.013786 0.314732 1.085582 2.336955 4.209511